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In-Depth Analysis· 1948 Genocide Convention criteria Events of 1915 Treaty of Lausanne Kars

The 1948 Genocide Convention, 1915 and the Treaties of Kars and Lausanne

Legal explainer on the 1948 Genocide Convention criteria, the Events of 1915, non-retroactivity, Perinçek v. Switzerland and the Treaties of Lausanne and Kars.

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Why It Matters

The 1948 Genocide Convention defines genocide narrowly: specific acts, committed with intent to destroy a protected group “as such”, under a treaty that took effect in 1951. Whether the Events of 1915 meet that definition is therefore a legal question as well as a historical one, and the two are often blurred in public debate. This guide separates them: it sets out the legal criteria, the competing positions, and the treaties that govern borders and status today.

Background

The legal framework and the historical chronology are best read side by side. The Convention did not exist in 1915; the term “genocide” was coined by the jurist Raphael Lemkin in 1944, and the treaty followed four years later.

Date Development
1915-05-27 Ottoman government adopts the temporary Relocation and Resettlement Law (Sevk ve İskân), published in the official gazette Takvim-i Vekayi on 1 June 1915
1919–1920 Ottoman courts-martial try wartime officials; the British detain Ottoman figures on Malta
1920-08-10 Treaty of Sèvres signed under Allied occupation; it never entered into force
1920-11-22 US President Woodrow Wilson issues an arbitral award on the Armenia–Ottoman boundary under Sèvres
1920-12-02/03 Treaty of Alexandropol (Gümrü) between the Ankara government and Armenia
1921-03-16 Treaty of Moscow between the Ankara government and Soviet Russia
1921-10-13 Treaty of Kars with Soviet Armenia, Azerbaijan and Georgia, Russia present
1923-07-24 Treaty of Lausanne signed (in force 1924-08-06), with a Declaration of Amnesty for offences between 1914 and 1922
1948-12-09 UN General Assembly adopts the Genocide Convention (in force 1951-01-12)
2005 Türkiye proposes a Joint Historical Commission
2015-10-15 ECtHR Grand Chamber judgment in Perinçek v. Switzerland
2022-01-14 Special Representatives Serdar Kılıç and Ruben Rubinyan begin Türkiye–Armenia normalization talks

Türkiye ratified the Convention in 1950 and Armenia acceded in 1993. Both are bound by it going forward, which leaves the question of what it covers for earlier events.

Key Players & Positions

The legal test has several distinct parts, and each is contested differently by the main actors.

What Article II actually requires

Article II defines genocide as any of five listed acts committed with intent to destroy, in whole or in part, a national, ethnical, racial or religious group, as such. The five acts are:

  • killing members of the group;
  • causing serious bodily or mental harm;
  • deliberately inflicting conditions of life calculated to bring about physical destruction;
  • imposing measures intended to prevent births;
  • forcibly transferring children.

Mass death, deportation or atrocity, however grave, is not automatically genocide. The act must be paired with the specific intent to destroy the group itself.

Specific intent (dolus specialis)

The International Court of Justice (ICJ) has treated intent as the decisive element. In Bosnia v. Serbia (2007) it held that where intent is inferred from a pattern of conduct, that pattern must be such that it could only point to the existence of such intent. In Croatia v. Serbia (2015) it applied the same strict standard. Legal scholars note that the standard separates genocide from other grave crimes, such as crimes against humanity or war crimes, which are also prohibited but are not the same offence.

Non-retroactivity and competent courts

Article 28 of the 1969 Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties states that a treaty does not bind a party in relation to acts that took place before its entry into force, unless a different intention appears. In Croatia v. Serbia the ICJ applied this logic to the Genocide Convention and declined jurisdiction over events before the Convention applied between the parties. Article VI of the Convention provides that genocide is tried by a competent tribunal of the state where the act occurred or by an international penal tribunal with jurisdiction. Article IX gives the ICJ jurisdiction over disputes between states parties.

Armenia

Armenia and the Armenian diaspora hold that the Armenians of the Ottoman Empire were subjected to a deliberate policy of destruction in 1915–1916 and that this constitutes genocide. Armenia’s 1990 Declaration of Independence refers to international recognition of the 1915 genocide. Armenian estimates of deaths typically run from 1 million to 1.5 million. Armenian and many outside scholars argue that genocide was already a crime under customary law, that Article I of the Convention “confirms” rather than creates the crime, and that the absence of a court ruling reflects failed post-war accountability rather than the absence of the crime. They cite the 1919–1920 Ottoman courts-martial and the Allied declaration of 24 May 1915 condemning “crimes against humanity and civilization”.

States that recognize the events as genocide

A few dozen states have adopted legislative or executive recognition, including France (2001 law), Germany (Bundestag resolution of 2 June 2016), Russia (State Duma, 1995), Canada (2004) and the United States (Congressional resolutions in 2019 and a presidential statement on 24 April 2021). These are political and historical acts by governments and parliaments. Their stated rationale is moral and historical recognition; they are not rulings by a judicial body. Other states, including some of Türkiye’s close partners, have not recognized the term.

Historians’ bodies

The International Association of Genocide Scholars (IAGS) adopted a resolution in 1997 affirming that the Ottoman campaign against Armenians was genocide. A 2002 legal analysis commissioned by the Turkish Armenian Reconciliation Commission from the International Center for Transitional Justice (ICTJ) concluded that the events, taken together, include the elements of genocide as defined in the Convention, while also finding that the Convention itself contains no retroactive application. A smaller group of historians, mainly in Türkiye and some in the West, dispute the characterization, stress wartime conditions and the Armenian armed insurgency, and note heavy Muslim civilian losses.

The European Court of Human Rights

Perinçek v. Switzerland (application no. 27510/08) concerned Doğu Perinçek, a Turkish politician convicted in Switzerland for calling the Armenian “genocide” an “international lie”. The Grand Chamber found, by 15 votes to 2, a violation of Article 10 (freedom of expression). Two points matter. First, the Court stated that it was not called upon to decide whether the events were genocide. Second, it distinguished Perinçek’s statements, which concerned legal characterization, from the denial of historical facts such as the massacres and deportations, which it did not question. Both sides cite the case: Ankara stresses the protection of debate and the lack of a legal consensus, while Armenia stresses that the Court did not question the reality of the atrocities.

🇹🇷 Official Policy · Treaties, Archives & Primary Sources

Türkiye’s Position (Türkiye’s Strategic Bearings)

Ankara’s position rests on law, treaty texts and archives rather than on denying human suffering. It is stated in Foreign Ministry material on the Events of 1915, in the 2005 letter from Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Foreign Minister Abdullah Gül to Armenia’s president, and in Presidency statements.

  • Legal characterization belongs to a competent court. According to the Turkish Foreign Ministry, genocide is a legal category under Articles II and VI of the 1948 Convention that requires proven dolus specialis, and no competent international tribunal has made such a finding for the Events of 1915. Ankara adds that Article 28 of the Vienna Convention means the 1948 treaty cannot be applied to acts of 1915.
  • Borders rest on binding treaties, not on Sèvres. Ankara argues that the Treaty of Sèvres was never ratified and never entered into force, and that the Treaties of Alexandropol (1920), Moscow (1921), Kars (1921) and Lausanne (1923) are the valid instruments. Lausanne also guaranteed rights of non-Muslim minorities as equal citizens. Türkiye asks that Armenia’s current borders and the Kars regime be explicitly respected, and points to the reference to independence-era claims in the preamble of Armenia’s constitution.
  • Historians and open archives should assess the past. In 2005 Türkiye formally proposed a Joint Historical Commission of Turkish, Armenian and international historians with access to Ottoman, Armenian and third-country archives. Ankara notes that its Ottoman archives are open to researchers and that the proposal remains on the table.
  • Shared pain and rejection of political verdicts. In a 23 April 2014 message, Erdoğan, then Prime Minister, offered condolences to the grandchildren of Armenians who lost their lives, calling it shared pain. The Foreign Ministry has consistently rejected third-country parliamentary resolutions, including the 2016 Bundestag resolution and the US decisions of 2019 and 2021, as political acts that do not bind international law.
  • Normalization without preconditions. Since 14 January 2022, Special Representatives Ambassador Serdar Kılıç and Ruben Rubinyan have held direct talks aimed at full normalization and regional peace in the South Caucasus.

Armenia replies that the archives question should not be a precondition for relations, and that a commission cannot replace recognition. The 2009 Zurich Protocols, which would have established a sub-commission on the historical dimension, were signed on 10 October 2009 but never ratified.

Source Comparison

Different sources emphasize different elements of the same facts. The table maps the main framings against verifiable anchors.

Question Common international / Armenian framing Turkish official framing Verifiable anchor
Is the term “genocide” a legal finding? Widely used by scholars and parliaments; recognition is moral and historical Requires a competent court and proven dolus specialis Convention Arts. II, VI; ICJ 2007 and 2015
Can the 1948 treaty apply to 1915? Crime existed in customary law; Art. I is declaratory Treaty is not retroactive Vienna Convention Art. 28; ICJ 2015
What did Perinçek decide? Court did not question the atrocities Court protected debate and found no consensus on the legal label ECtHR Grand Chamber, 15 Oct 2015
Is Sèvres still relevant? Wilson award and Sèvres reflect Allied recognition of Armenian claims Sèvres was unratified and replaced by Lausanne Treaty texts of 1920–1923
Who should assess the record? Existing archives and scholarship already support recognition Joint commission with open archives 2005 proposal; Zurich Protocols 2009

For readers, the useful discipline is to separate the questions: what happened historically, how it is classified legally, and which treaties govern borders today. For the documentary side, see Archive Atlas: The Events of 1915 in Documents, Law and Normalization. For how we handle sourcing, see Editorial Principles and Primary Source Standards.

  • Dolus specialis: the specific intent to destroy a protected group as such, required in addition to the prohibited act.
  • Ratione temporis: a court’s jurisdiction in time; it determines whether a treaty can apply to past events.
  • Competent tribunal: a court with legal authority to rule, as in Article VI of the Convention; parliamentary resolutions are not such tribunals.
  • Treaty of Sèvres (1920): an Allied-Ottoman draft peace treaty that was never ratified.
  • Treaties of Alexandropol, Moscow, Kars and Lausanne: the 1920–1923 instruments fixing Türkiye’s eastern borders and replacing Sèvres.
  • Joint Historical Commission: the 2005 proposal for historians to examine all archives jointly.
  • Events of 1915: the official Turkish term for the wartime relocation and its consequences.

Related reading: Fact Check: Calibrating the Compass on Claims About Türkiye, About The Nation's Compass: Mission, Transparency and Editorial Team and FAQ: Sources, Methodology and Our Türkiye Perspective.

The Nation's Compass presents global affairs with a dedicated perspective from Türkiye. Sections marked 'Türkiye's Position' reflect official Turkish policy as stated by Turkish government sources.

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For complementary primary-source analysis across our specialist editorial network, consult:

Frequently asked questions

What does the 1948 Genocide Convention require for an act to count as genocide?

Article II requires one of five listed acts, such as killing group members or causing serious harm, committed with intent to destroy a national, ethnical, racial or religious group in whole or in part, as such. The specific intent (dolus specialis) is the decisive element. The ICJ has said that when intent is inferred from conduct, it must be the only reasonable inference.

Does the Genocide Convention apply to the Events of 1915?

The Convention entered into force on 12 January 1951, and under Article 28 of the Vienna Convention on the Law of Treaties treaties do not bind states for earlier acts. Türkiye argues this rules out applying the treaty to 1915. Armenia and many scholars argue that genocide was already a crime under customary law and that the term can be used historically, but this does not create a court route under the Convention itself.

What did Perinçek v. Switzerland decide?

On 15 October 2015 the ECtHR Grand Chamber found, by 15 votes to 2, that Switzerland violated Article 10 by convicting Doğu Perinçek for denying the Armenian “genocide” label. The Court said it was not deciding whether the events were genocide, and it did not question the reality of the massacres and deportations. Both Ankara and Armenia cite the judgment for different points.

Why do the Treaties of Kars and Lausanne matter in this debate?

They are the binding instruments that fixed Türkiye’s eastern borders and replaced the unratified Treaty of Sèvres. The Treaty of Kars (13 October 1921) involved Soviet Armenia, and Lausanne (24 July 1923) set Türkiye’s international status and minority protections. Ankara argues that claims based on Sèvres have no legal force, and that the Zurich Protocols’ reference to existing treaties reflects this.

What is the Joint Historical Commission proposal?

In 2005 Türkiye proposed that Turkish, Armenian and international historians examine the Events of 1915 with access to Ottoman, Armenian and third-country archives. Armenia has generally responded that the question should not be a precondition for relations. The 2009 Zurich Protocols contained a similar mechanism but were never ratified.

Which countries and bodies recognize the events as genocide?

A few dozen states have recognized them through parliamentary or executive acts, including France, Germany, Russia, Canada and the United States, and the International Association of Genocide Scholars affirmed the term in 1997. These are political and scholarly acts rather than judgments of a competent international court. Türkiye and some historians reject the characterization.

Perspective & Editorial Transparency Note

This article is published from a perspective that presents and defends Türkiye's official positions and strategic doctrines, alongside the legal and historical arguments supporting them. Claims are attributed to primary sources such as treaties, UN documents, archival records and official statements, which are cited so readers can verify them independently. Sections marked 'Türkiye's Strategic Bearings' reflect official Turkish policy as stated by Turkish government sources.

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